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Vendredi 13 mai 2005

Ozone hits record low in 2005

Quirin Schiermeier

Chilly Arctic winters are sapping our atmospheric protection

 

A combination of climate change and pollution is chewing through Europe's ozone, researchers say. They have announced that the protective layer over northern and central Europe was thinner this season than it has been since measurements began 50 years ago.

The results come from a campaign that collected ozone data from 35 stations from Greenland to Tenerife, between January and March 2005. Preliminary analysis of these data plus information from satellites reveals that about one-third of ozone molecules in the arctic stratosphere were destroyed this past winter. By early spring, ozone-depleted air had drifted southwards through large parts of northern and central Europe.

Substantial ozone depletion was observed during several cold arctic winters in the 1990s, most notably in 1999/2000. But this year's reduction of 30% is larger than seen before, scientists said at this week's meeting of the European Geosciences Union in Vienna.

Some, but not all, of this loss was replenished by ozone flooding up from the south. In fact, the loss came closer to creating a fully fledged ozone hole than ever before, says Markus Rex, an atmospheric scientist at the Alfred Wegener Institute of Polar and Marine Research in Potsdam, Germany.

Without a healthy layer of ozone for protection, light-skinned Europeans can get sunburned, even in the spring, in 20 minutes, particularly at high altitudes or when snow reflects the sunlight. Researchers are concerned that the radiation may have more dramatic effects on plants and animals, which cannot shield themselves with sunscreen.

Out in the cold

Ozone is destroyed when oxygen molecules react with aggressive chemicals produced by the decay of chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs). The use of CFCs was largely phased out by the 1987 Montreal Protocol. But CFCs are long-living substances that will continue to destroy atmospheric ozone in polar regions for at least another 50 years.

Climate change appears to worsen their effect. High-altitude clouds made of nitric acids, sulphuric acid and water trigger the rapid transformation of CFCs into more aggressive compounds. And unusually cold arctic winters, which are expected to become more frequent as global surface temperatures rise, seem to favour the formation of such clouds.

"Over the last 40 years or so, we have seen a fourfold increase in the area cold enough for polar stratospheric clouds to form throughout the Arctic" says Rex. The reasons are not yet entirely understood.

Researchers knew it was going to be a particularly cold year in the Arctic this January, and their predictions of severe ozone depletion have now been confirmed.

To work out the fate of the arctic ozone layer in the more distant future, scientists will need a better understanding of how greenhouse gases affect temperatures in the upper atmosphere, says Neil Harris an atmospheric chemist at the University of Cambridge, UK. Current models of the stratosphere predict everything from a dramatic cooling in the Arctic to modest warming.

 

http://www.nature.com/news/2005/050425/full/050425-4.html

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Samedi 21 mai 2005

Lake vanishes overnight in Russia

CBC News

MOSCOW - Villagers in central Russia are mystified by the sudden disappearance, overnight, of the town's lake.

Russia's NTV channel showed a muddy basin where the lake once was, in the village of Bolotnikovo, 250 kilometres east of Moscow. The name of the village translates roughly as "boggy."

Local officials say the lake was probably sucked into an underground cave system.

NTV interviewed local fishermen who had gone to the lake early Friday morning only to discover that something had "pulled the plug" on the lake.

"I looked and there was no water. I thought: 'Oh my God, what's going on?'" said one of the fishermen on TV.

Emergency crews were called out to search the lake bed to see if anyone had been sucked under. Lakeside trees appeared to have been dragged down with the water.

Safety officials say it's still dangerous to be on the lake bed.

Local official Dmitry Klyuev said several houses had been swallowed up under similar circumstances 70 years ago.

http://www.cbc.ca/story/world/national/2005/05/20/RussianLake_050520.html

 

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Jeudi 16 juin 2005
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Samedi 18 juin 2005

Hurricanes 'to get stronger'

Alok Jha


Hurricanes are likely to get more extreme as a result of climate change, say scientists.

 

Computer models of the Earth's water cycle suggest that hurricanes will intensify as warmer temperatures draw more ocean water into the atmosphere.

 

The research follows a record number of hurricanes affecting Florida and typhoons striking Japan last year.

 

Kevin Trenberth, a researcher at the National Centre for Atmospheric Research in Colorado, who led the research, said warmer seas and increased atmospheric water vapour would add energy to the showers and thunderstorms that fuel hurricanes. "Computer models also suggest a shift ... toward extreme hurricanes," he said.

 

Most of the hurricanes that strike the US coastline are formed in the tropical north Atlantic, where sea-surface temperatures over the past decade have been the warmest on record.

 

"Over the 20th century, water vapour over the global oceans increased by 5% and that probably relates to about a 5% increase in intensity and probably a 5% increase in heavy rainfalls," says Dr Trenberth, whose research is published today in Science. "That relates directly to the flooding statistics."

 

Present models suggest a 7% increase in the moisture in the atmosphere for every degree celsius that the earth warms. As the carbon dioxide in the atmosphere increases and global temperatures rise, so the amount of water in the atmosphere goes up.

 

However, the effect of climate change on hurricane numbers and landfalls is uncertain, said Dr Trenberth.

 

Models disagreed on how global warming might affect the wind sheer that can either support or discourage hurricane formation.

The number of hurricanes and typhoons tends to hold steady from year to year. When activity increases in the Atlantic, it often decreases in the Pacific, and vice versa. So, it is hard to make long term predictions on the number of storms or how they will move.

 

"There is no sound theoretical basis for drawing any conclusions about how anthropogenic climate change affects hurricane numbers or tracks, and thus how many hit land," said Dr Trenberth.

 

· Temperatures across much of the country are likely to hit highs of 32C (90F) this weekend, the Met Office said yesterday. Its forecasters warned that the high temperatures may cause health problems for elderly people.

 

Source: the Guardian

 

 

http://www.guardian.co.uk/naturaldisasters/story/0,7369,1508554,00.html

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Dimanche 19 juin 2005

Hurricane season blows in again as survivors still ride storm of last year's calamity



Jamie Wilson in Punta Gorda



Gil Echevarrias never expected to end up living in a trailer park. The 58-year-old retired steelworker from Rhode Island was ordered by his doctor to escape the cold northern climate and head for the sun, so he and his wife gathered up their possessions and sank their nest egg into Charlotte county on the Gulf coast of Florida.

 

Three months after they arrived so did Hurricane Charley, blowing away the little place where Gil and Aida had planned to live out their retirement.

 

As the new hurricane season rolls in, forecast to be as destructive as the last, the couple are still living in what has become a notorious government-owned trailer park set up after the storms to house more than 500 families who had nowhere else to go.

 

"My arthritis has gone, but now I'm suffering from massive depression instead," Mr Echevarrias said.

 

The first named tropical storm of the season, Arlene, made landfall last weekend. The centre of the tempest missed Charlotte county, but tremendous thunderstorms that caused flooding reminded residents of what could be just around the corner. The tropical storm season began on June 1 and ends on November 30, and last year four hurricanes swamped Florida, causing about 130 deaths across the US and billions of dollars in damage.

 

In Punta Gorda the footprint of Hurricane Charley remains very much in evidence. Twisted petrol station signs, bent almost in half by the wind, line the main road into town; trees that should be heavy with foliage are bare; while every other house seems to have blue tarpaulin sheets instead of a roof in a vain attempt to keep out the worst of the weather.

 

Crimewave

 

In some areas, where properties were damaged beyond repair, the bulldozer remains the vehicle of choice, sweeping away the skeletons of buildings that were once people's homes.

 

Many of those whose houses and apartments were destroyed have ended up in Fema City, named after the federal emergency management agency that set up three trailer parks across Florida after last year's hurricanes. The residents of Fema City face the prospect of surviving the hurricane season living in the park, consisting of scores of identical white trailers lined up in rows along potholed dirt roads, made worse by the heavy rains.

 

But the cramped conditions, lack of amenities and low quality of the roads have not been the only challenges the residents have faced. The trailer park sits in the shadow of the county jail and, to the shock of law-abiding citizens like the Echevarriases, some of their new neighbours in Fema City would have been equally at home next door.

 

The police were called 175 times within two months. Now there is a permanent police presence on the gate and regular patrols to curb the crimewave, ranging from theft to drug dealing and vandalism, that left many of the older residents scared to leave their trailers at night.

 

Last week it emerged that the local meals on wheels service and pizza delivery companies were refusing to deliver inside the park, because of the state of the roads.

 

It was the poor who were hit hardest by the hurricane, and they continue to suffer the most. Charley wiped out much of the area's affordable housing; most of it built before more stringent and storm-proof building regulations were brought in the early 1990s. The destruction and subsequent lack of housing has trebled rents.

 

Price rise

 

"You could get a decent two or three bedroom place for about $500 a month [£275] before," said Richard Stasney, a pastor with the Christian Missionary Alliance, whose church is a short walk from the trailer park. "Now you will be lucky to get the same type of place for $1,500."

 

Yvonne Ohle, 58, was at home with her daughter, Kim, 35, four grandchildren, a dog and two cats when Charley struck. It was supposed to miss Punta Gorda and hit Tampa, but somewhere out in the Gulf of Mexico the hurricane took a sharp right turn, barrelled across the bay and through the heart of the pretty seaside resort.

 

"I wasn't really scared until a tornado took off the corner of the house," Mrs Ohle said from the sitting room of one of the two trailers the family shares. They hid in the bathroom while the house was blown apart around them. By the time Charley left there was virtually nothing left. Like thousands of others in Florida, she had insured her house years ago, but the property boom meant the money the insurance company paid out was nowhere near enough to pay what the builders were demanding to put her house back up.

 

"We're here until they throw us out," she said. "We can't afford to rebuild, we can't afford the rent on anywhere else, so unless some fairy godmother comes along we ain't got nowhere to go."

 

Asked what she will do if another big hurricane heads in their direction, she pointed at the flimsy structure around her and replied: "Get out of here that's for sure. We'll get in the car and drive in the opposite direction. Miami, here we come."

 

Mrs Ohle is not alone in directing her anger at the state officials. "They can afford to buy a million-dollar tent to take the place of an auditorium they lost and they can afford to repair businesses and schools, but for people like us there is nothing."

 

Mr Echevarrias, who is hoping to secure a short-term tenancy on a flat with the help of his children before the next hurricane arrives, agreed.

 

"I have no complaints about Fema, but the state politicians should be lined up," he said. "There has been no local response. I've been in the military, I've seen what this country can do, I know the resources, and I cannot understand how they have been getting away with doing nothing."

 

Source: The Guardian

 

http://www.guardian.co.uk/weather/Story/0,2763,1509205,00.html

 

 

 

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